Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Breakout Brewing, Bulls Focus on $111K!

Bitcoin price

BTC TA 9

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  • Bitcoin trades sideways in a week-long range but builds fresh bullish momentum.
  • Improving RSI, MACD, and support above SMAs signal BTC’s breakout past seven-week resistance.
  • 50-day and 200-bar SMAs limit BTC/USD downside within tight trading range.
  • Upside break of $111K highlights the key $113,600 hurdle, the gateway to $140K.

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) holds a mild bid near $109,100 during Wednesday’s U.S. session, trading within a narrow, week-long range.

With this, the BTC price remains stuck between the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a seven-week-old resistance line.

Still, gradually improving signals from the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) keep buyers optimistic about an upside breakout, paving the way to test the key resistance blocking BTC/USD from the highly anticipated $140K target.

BTC/USD: Bulls gather strength per daily chart

BTCUSD 1D 09072025
Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Breakout Brewing, Bulls Focus on $111K! 3

Source: TradingView

Bitcoin’s immediate moves face resistance from the 50-day SMA and a horizontal line drawn from late May. However, the 14-day RSI gradually climbing above the neutral 50 level, combined with bullish signals from the MACD, to keep buyers optimistic about breaking above the $111K hurdle.

If BTC clears $111K, buyers will target an upward-sloping resistance from December 2024 near $113,600. Breaking this could trigger a rally toward the much-discussed $140K mark. Along the way, the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci Extension (FE) levels of the April–June move—around $117K and $122K—may act as key test points.

Alternatively, support lies between $106,700 and $106,740, where the 50-day SMA meets the 23.6% FE. Additional downside protection comes from the monthly low at $105,130, the early-June swing low near $100,426, the previous monthly low of $98,240, and the 100-day SMA around $99,582.

BTC/USD: Four-Hour chart depicts upside momentum

BTCUSD 4H 09072025
Bitcoin Price Analysis: BTC Breakout Brewing, Bulls Focus on $111K! 4

Source: TradingView

Similar to the daily setup, Bitcoin’s four-hour chart shows short-term consolidation, with price trapped between the 200-bar SMA at $106,560 and a seven-week resistance zone at $110,600–$110,800. The RSI mirrors the gradual upward trend seen on the daily chart, but the MACD remains sluggish, hinting at a slow, steady grind to the north.

Beyond that, May’s peak at $112K adds another upside barrier for BTC/USD bulls, complementing the resistance levels discussed in the daily chart.

On the flip side, a break below the 200-bar SMA support at $106,560 would shift focus to a two-month-old horizontal support zone at $98,250–$97,900. That said, key daily chart levels may provide temporary support if the decline deepens below $106,560.

All in all, Bitcoin buyers appear poised for a new high, but a solid fundamental catalyst is likely needed to break this period of indecision.

Disclaimer

All content provided on Times Crypto is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk and may result in financial loss. We strongly recommend consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A research analyst with 10+years of experience in tracking Forex, Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies. Worked with Edelweiss, FxStreet, etc.