Cardano Price Analysis: ADA Bears Poke $0.8300 Support; 10-week Bull Run at risk?

Cardano (ADA) price breaks three-week support to refresh multi-day low as sellers face key challenges within bullish channel. What Next? Read Here!

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  • Cardano price hits a weekly low inside a 2.5-month-old bullish channel, extending a break below three-week support.
  • Bearish MACD signals, neutral RSI reinforce ADA’s short-term downside bias.
  • Multi-month bullish channel, key SMA confluence can challenge ADA bears before giving them control.
  • Cardano’s short-term downside looks likely, but a medium-term recovery and broader consolidation phase may still take hold.

Cardano (ADA) price slides to $0.8280, its lowest since August 12, marking a second straight day of losses ahead of Friday’s U.S. trading session.
In the process, the ADA extends its downside break of a three-week-old ascending trend line support, now immediate resistance. The recent fall also takes clues from the steady conditions of the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and bearish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signals.
Meanwhile, Cardano’s daily trading volume drops to the lowest level in nearly two weeks, to $1.19 billion, according to Santiment, portraying thin trader participation during the decline. Further, the market cap also retreats for the second straight day to $30.15 billion.
Despite the recent fall and short-term downside bias, the ADA’s sustained trading within an upward-sloping trend channel from early June and above the key Simple Moving Average (SMA) confluence challenges the sellers on a medium to long-term basis.

Cardano Price: Daily Chart Favors Short-term Downside

ADAUSD 1D 22082025
Source: TradingView

A clear downside break of the three-week support, bearish MACD signals, and steady RSI together suggest further weakness in the ADA prices. However, a daily closing beneath an eight-month-old horizontal support zone and the 21-day SMA, respectively near $0.8360-$0.8350 and the $0.8300, becomes necessary for the intraday sellers.
Below that, the multi-month bullish channel’s bottom surrounding $0.7750 will be in the spotlight, as a break of which will shift the market’s attention to the last defense of ADA buyers, namely a convergence of the 100-day and 200-day SMA surrounding $0.7200.
Should the quote remain weak past $0.7200, it becomes vulnerable to a slump towards a horizontal support from February around $0.5100.
On the flip side, Cardano’s recovery remains elusive unless jumping back beyond the immediate support-turned-resistance surrounding $0.8600.
Beyond that, the $0.9000 threshold, July’s peak of $0.9340, and the monthly high of $1.0190 could challenge the ADA bulls before directing them to the aforementioned bullish channel’s top near $1.0500.

Cardano Price: Four-Hour Chart Points To Multiple Supports

ADAUSD 4H 22082025
Source: TradingView

Cardano’s sustained trading beneath the 50-bar SMA, a clear downside break of a three-week support, and bearish MACD signals direct prices toward the 200-bar SMA support of $0.8245. Still, the RSI approaches the oversold territory of around 30.00 and hence highlights each upcoming support as a potential recovery point.
Should the quote fail to rebound from the 200-bar SMA support of $0.8245, it can challenge the bullish channel’s support surrounding 0.7750, with the $0.8000 threshold acting as an intermediate halt.
It’s worth noting that multiple lows marked since July 11 highlight an additional downside filter for the ADA bears to watch around $0.6880-60, even if they manage to defy the bullish channel by breaking $0.7750 support.
Alternatively, the support-turned-resistance and the 50-bar SMA guard short-term ADA recovery near $0.8600 and $0.9055 in that order. Beyond that, the daily chart levels will gain the market’s attention.

Conclusion

Cardano’s break below short-term support, along with steady RSI and bearish MACD signals, suggests near-term weakness. However, the bullish channel, key Simple Moving Average (SMA) confluence, multiple downside supports, and a nearly oversold RSI on the four-hour chart help defend the medium-term bullish bias. Notably, ADA remains within its yearly trading range, supporting a potential long-term consolidation pattern.

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Disclaimer

All content provided on Times Crypto is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk and may result in financial loss. We strongly recommend consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A research analyst with 10+years of experience in tracking Forex, Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies. Worked with Edelweiss, FxStreet, etc.