Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Bulls Face Crucial $3,070 Test — What’s Next?

Ethereum (ETH/USD) climbs 3% to hit five-month high but faces tough $3,070 ceiling amid overbought RSI to peak trader’s interest.

ETH Price Analysis

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  • Ethereum buyers challenge key resistance at five-month high.
  • Overbought RSI, rising trendline from May, and the Golden Fibonacci Ratio test ETH bulls.
  • ETH/USD pullback stays dull beyond $2,910, but a sustained rise can target $3,130 and January tops.

Ethereum (ETH/USD) bulls are battling a critical resistance at a five-month high, advancing 3.0% intraday to $3,060 during the initial U.S. session on Monday.

As ETH strives to mirror Bitcoin’s (BTC/USD) stellar surge, it faces resistance from a two-month ascending trendline, key Fibonacci Retracement level, and an overbought 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI). However, bullish momentum from the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator and a clear break of the February trendline resistance keep the upside bias intact, limiting sellers’ chances of a return.

ETH/USD: Daily chart lures bulls

ETHUSD 1D 14072025
Source: TradingView

Ethereum (ETH/USD) broke above a key trendline from February and hit a five-month high the last week, but failed to clear a two-month resistance. That ceiling—near $3,070—aligns with the overbought RSI and the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement of the December 2024–April 2025 drop, also known as the “Golden Fibonacci Ratio,” capping immediate upside.

Still, ETH/USD stays bullish above the broken resistance turned support at $2,910, with a strong MACD backing the case for further gains.

If ETH breaks below $2,910, buyers may defend the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,475 and a horizontal support zone around $2,115–$2,150. A sustained drop below these levels could shift control to the bears.

On the flip side, a daily close above $3,070 could open the door to the January highs near $3,440 and $3,525, with further Ethereum upside targeting the yearly top at $3,743 and the late 2024 peak of $4,105.

ETH/USD: Four-Hour chart highlights upside hurdles

ETHUSD 4H 14072025
Source: TradingView

On the four-hour chart, Ethereum (ETH/USD) shows overbought RSI conditions but joins the mixed MACD signals to suggest a short-term pullback toward the $2,910 resistance-turned-support highlighted on the daily chart. Before that, June’s high near $2,880 and the 100-bar and 200-bar SMAs at $2,641 and $2,566, respectively, stand as key barriers to further downside.

Alternatively, a clear move above the $3,070 resistance could trigger a rally toward the 78.6% Fibonacci Extension (FE) of the May–June uptrend around $3,131, before targeting the broader bullish levels outlined on the daily chart.

In summary, ETH/USD faces near-term pullback risk, but the broader uptrend remains intact.

Disclaimer

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A research analyst with 10+years of experience in tracking Forex, Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies. Worked with Edelweiss, FxStreet, etc.