Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Grinds Within Rising Wedge, Will 200-day SMA Defend Bulls?

Ethereum (ETH/USD) bulls defend key support within a rising wedge, with momentum fading ahead of “Crypto Week.”

ETH TA 7072025

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  • Ethereum price stalls after consecutive two-week & two-day uptrends, stuck in bearish patterns of late.
  • Rising wedges on daily and four-hour charts, plus mixed momentum, challenge ETH bulls at 200-day SMA.
  • Selling may accelerate below $2,360, with $2,100 as key support and $2,910 capping any recovery.
  • A break under $2,515 could trigger short-term consolidation in the ETH/USD pair.

Ethereum (ETH/USD) holds steady around $2,570 in Monday’s European session, after back-to-back daily and weekly gains. However, the second-largest cryptocurrency is now moving sideways within a Rising Wedge — a bearish chart pattern visible on both the daily and four-hour charts — while struggling to maintain its rebound from the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA).

Meanwhile, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stays neutral, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signals remain mixed, reflecting weakening momentum. A lack of direction suggests a potential pullback, especially if triggered by fresh fundamentals or in anticipation of the upcoming “Crypto Week” starting July 14.

ETH/USD: Daily chart shows bullish fight inside bearish setup

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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Grinds Within Rising Wedge, Will 200-day SMA Defend Bulls? 3

Source: Tradingview

Even though Ethereum (ETH/USD) prices fluctuate within a Rising Wedge bearish pattern dating back to late February, trading steadily above the 200-day SMA keeps buyers optimistic. The 14-day RSI sits near 56.00, and the MACD shows mild bullish signals, pointing to a slow upward grind that needs fundamental support to convince buyers.

However, immediate upside faces a three-week-old descending resistance line around $2,625, followed by the wedge’s upper boundary near $2,910. A break above $2,910 would invalidate the bearish pattern, opening the path for buyers to test the $3,000 mark and then January highs at roughly $3,440, $3,525, and $3,745.

On the downside, a daily close below the 200-day SMA support at $2,492 would push sellers toward the wedge’s support at $2,348.

A break below this would confirm the bearish pattern, targeting a theoretical low near $855. Between these levels, the ETH/USD bears could find support zones around $2,150-$2,100, the $2,000 mark, and the yearly low near $1,385.

ETH/USD: Four-Hour chart appears more interesting

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Ethereum Price Analysis: ETH Grinds Within Rising Wedge, Will 200-day SMA Defend Bulls? 4

Source: Tradingview

On the four-hour chart, Ethereum is narrowing within a three-week Rising Wedge pattern, currently ranging between $2,700 and $2,535. The 200-bar SMA at $2,513 acts as critical support — a break below this could open the door to a theoretical drop toward the $2,000 mark before aligning with key daily chart levels.

To the upside, a breakout above $2,700 would shift focus to the previous monthly high near $2,880, which stands as the next major resistance before ETH/USD eyes higher targets on the daily chart.

Interestingly, the four-hour RSI and MACD indicators are showing stronger bullish momentum, suggesting a gradual move higher is more likely — even as the rising wedge continues to test buyer conviction.

Overall, ETH/USD leans bullish above the 200-bar SMA, despite the wedge pattern applying short-term pressure on buyers.

Disclaimer

All content provided on Times Crypto is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk and may result in financial loss. We strongly recommend consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A research analyst with 10+years of experience in tracking Forex, Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies. Worked with Edelweiss, FxStreet, etc.