Solana Price Analysis: This Formation can Test SOL Bulls at $239; What Next?

Solana (SOL) price remains firmer within a two-week triangle, extending recovery from the 21-day SMA despite looming fears of a short-term price consolidation. Read Why?

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  • Solana price rises 2.0%, extending weekend recovery from the 21-day SMA within a two-week-old triangle.
  • Bullish RSI, MACD signals direct SOL buyers toward $239 hurdle, testing the triangle formation.
  • A drop below $224.00 could trigger a short-term pullback in Solana, but the overall bullish trend holds above $193.00.

On Monday, Solana (SOL) price jumps 2.0% to $234, holding its weekend rebound from the 21-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) while staying within a two-week-old triangle.

Alongside the SOL’s U-turn from a 21-day SMA, bullish signals from the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicators also keep buyers optimistic.

Still, a pullback in trading volume, despite upbeat market capitalization (market cap), and a triangle formation, fuels the odds of a healthy consolidation in the Solana prices before the next rally. According to Santiment, Solana’s daily trading volume retreats from $7.13 billion to $6.44 billion, while the market cap hits a five-day high of $127.51 billion.

With this, the risk of short-term consolidation is high, but the broader bullish trend remains intact as long as SOL stays above $193.00.

More Details: Solana News Today: $91 Million Short at Risk as SOL Eyes $270

Notably, the U.S. Dollar’s likely recovery on the potential U.S. government re-open, following a week-long shutdown, as well as mixed market sentiment, adds strength to the hopes of witnessing the SOL pullback.

Solana Price: Daily Chart Keeps Buyers Hopeful Beyond $193

SOLUSD 1D 06102025
Source: Tradingview

Solana’s clear recovery from the 21-day SMA gains support from the above 50.00 RSI line, not overbought, and bullish MACD signals (green histogram) to underpin the upside outlook within a two-week-old ascending triangle formation, currently between $239.00 and $224.00.

Should the quote rise past $239.00 hurdle, the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of Solana’s January-April downturn, close to $252.00, quickly followed by September’s high of near $253.50, will be on the bull’s radar.

Beyond that, multiple top marks in January around $273.00 and the yearly peak of $295.11, quickly followed by the $300.00 psychological magnet, will be in the spotlight.

Alternatively, a downside break of the $224.00 support confluence, encompassing the stated triangle’s bottom and the 21-day SMA, could trigger a short-term SOL downturn toward an ascending support line from late June, close to $197.00.

That said, the $200.00 threshold and the 100-day SMA support of $193.00 are additional downside filters for the bears to watch.

In a case where Solana price weakens past $193.00, the bears could retake control to initially target August’s low of around $155.00.

Solana Price: Four-Hour Chart Highlights Triangle Formation

SOLUSD 4H 06102025
Source: Tradingview

On the four-hour chart, Solana’s sustained trading within the triangle, backed by bullish momentum indicators, gains support from the quote’s placement above the 200-bar and 50-bar SMAs to keep buyers optimistic.

However, a three-week-old horizontal resistance area surrounding $248.00-$250.00 can act as an extra filter towards the north before highlighting the daily chart’s higher levels.

On the flip side, the 200-bar and 50-bar SMA levels, respectively near $222.00 and $220.90, could test the SOL bears past $224.00 support, a break of which could direct them to the deeper levels highlighted on the daily chart.

Conclusion

Solana’s price action supports a bullish outlook, fueled by strong momentum indicators and an SMA breakout. However, a short-term consolidation risk remains within the $239-$224 range, comprising the triangle formation.

Notably, SOL’s clear downside break of $193.00 could challenge the altcoin’s medium-to-long-term bullish bias, despite strong fundamental catalysts, making it crucial for traders to watch.

Also read: Cryptocurrency Weekly Price Prediction: BTC, ETH & XRP Lift Off as U.S. Shutdown, Fed Buzz pressure Dollar

Disclaimer

All content provided on Times Crypto is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk and may result in financial loss. We strongly recommend consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A research analyst with 10+years of experience in tracking Forex, Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies. Worked with Edelweiss, FxStreet, etc.