Tron Price Analysis: TRX Approaches Last Defense of Bears, Will $0.2960 Hold The Line?

Tron (TRX/USD) extends its four-month winning streak with a fresh two-week high, but faces a key test at the $0.2960 resistance

TRX-TA

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  • Tron price climbs to two-week high after four straight months of gains.
  • TRX remains bullish above key EMAs, with MACD backing gains—even as RSI signals short-term heat.
  • Seven-month resistance caps TRX/USD rally, but bears stay cautious above $0.2360.

Tron (TRX/USD) climbs to a two-week high near $0.2830 during Wednesday’s U.S. session, up over 1.0% on the day. The move extends TRX’s late-June rebound from its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), with bulls now eyeing a seven-month resistance zone that could unlock a run toward its late 2024 record high. Encouragingly, TRX continues to trade above key EMAs, while bullish momentum indicators support further upside. Let’s discuss details!

TRX/USD: Daily chart suggests further recovery

TRXUSD 1D 02072025
Tron Price Analysis: TRX Approaches Last Defense of Bears, Will $0.2960 Hold The Line? 3

Source: TradingView

Tron’s sustained move above the 100-day and 200-day EMA combined with bullish Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) signals and a strong but not overbought 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) near 60, keeps buyers hopeful.

However, the seven-month-old resistance zone between $0.2960 and $0.3100 remains a major hurdle. A break above $0.3100 could open the way toward the December 2024 record high near $0.4506, with $0.3500 and $0.4000 as possible intermediate targets.

On the downside, a pullback below the 100-day EMA at $0.2626 may push prices toward the 200-day EMA support at $0.2457, though bears are unlikely to dominate unless TRX falls below the upward-sloping resistance from late November 2024 near $0.2360.

TRX/USD: Four-Hour chart highlights bearish channel

TRXUSD 4H 02072025
Tron Price Analysis: TRX Approaches Last Defense of Bears, Will $0.2960 Hold The Line? 4

Source: TradingView

Unlike the daily chart, the four-hour chart shows an overbought RSI, above 70, signaling immediate risk to Tron’s upside momentum.

With this, the key support levels to watch are the 200-bar EMA at $0.2738 and an ascending trendline from April 19 near $0.2630. Further downside moves seem less likely but would point back to daily chart support levels.

Alternatively, the $0.2900 threshold is the first hurdle for the TRX/USD bulls before the “Double Tops” resistance around $0.2960, which must be broken to shift focus toward higher daily chart targets.

Overall, Tron is likely to continue its recent gains, but surpassing $0.2960 remains uncertain.

Disclaimer

All content provided on Times Crypto is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial or trading advice. Trading and investing involve risk and may result in financial loss. We strongly recommend consulting a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.

A research analyst with 10+years of experience in tracking Forex, Equities, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies. Worked with Edelweiss, FxStreet, etc.