XRP price may be setting up for a major bullish phase, according to analyst Ali Martinez, as the token trades near $1.33 after months of weak action. The broader setup now centers on a long-term triangle pattern, rising bearish sentiment, and a possible retreat toward $0.75-$0.80 before the next strong advance begins. While short-term momentum remains mixed, the larger chart structure still points to a decisive move that could reshape XRP’s direction in the next market upswing.
XRP Price Tests Crucial Bullish Structure
According to Ali Martinez, XRP has been winding up a gigantic ascending triangle in the monthly chart. The market has been driven by that structure since 2017 and is still shaping the future of the market. The trend displays successive low highs and lows, and the top has consistently crowned rallies.
Such a formation is usually pressure building. With a shortening range, the price tends to reach a breaking point. As a result, traders are currently monitoring XRP price capability to maintain its bigger structure and make a bigger directional move.
The latest rejection around resistance is an important signal, Ali Martinez points to. XRP could not hold on to the upper band in August 2025. Such a setback now increases the probability of a further pullback to deeper support before a new attempt to break out can commence.
Nonetheless, the long-run trend has not disintegrated. The triangle is not broken yet, and the higher low pattern does count. Consequently, the existing weakness can become a part of the same cycle that XRP has developed over the years.
The following large region is between 0.75 and 0.80. This range is the lowest limit of the long-term setup and has general technical significance. When the price of XRP drops to that area, the market will test how many buyers are still going to stick with the structure.
Ali Martinez considers that range to be a prime opportunity field and not a cause of panic. He says that historic setbacks within this formation tend to reestablish the mood preceding the subsequent rise. Therefore, a recession in support might reinforce the argument of a subsequent recovery.
At the present rate of almost $1.33, a fall to 0.75 would represent a 43.6 percent decline. A pullback to 0.80 would be a 39.8 pullback. Those figures appear harsh, but crypto markets are characterized by sharp reversals within bigger bullish patterns.
Also, this area coincides with previous technical analysis by other market observers. The larger its overlap, the greater its significance on the chart.
XRP Could Shift Into Breakout Territory
Ali Martinez believes any move into support could set up a strong recovery wave. After a successful retest, XRP price could climb back toward the triangle’s upper region near $3.30. That target would represent a gain of about 150% from current levels.
The rebound case becomes stronger because the triangle has matured for years. Long consolidations often lead to powerful breakouts when price finally escapes the range. Moreover, the reduced space inside the pattern suggests that XRP may not stay trapped much longer.
Ali Martinez also highlights the psychological role of this setup. Repeated resistance failures usually weaken confidence across the market. Yet those periods sometimes create the best conditions for a reversal, especially when the broader structure still holds firm.
If XRP price reaches the apex zone and then breaks above it, the longer-term picture changes sharply. At that stage, a move beyond prior cycle highs becomes more realistic. The market would then shift from recovery mode into full breakout territory.
XRP Sentiment Drops, Reversal Signal Strengthens
Social data has turned notably weak, adding another layer to the story. Market intelligence platform Santiment shows that bearish commentary around XRP has climbed in recent days. The ratio of positive to negative comments dropped to 1.02 to 1.00 this week.
Source: X/Santiment
That reading places XRP deep in a zone marked by fear, uncertainty, and doubt. Significantly, such periods often appear near important turning points rather than near stable trends. When crowd conviction fades, price sometimes starts to move the other way.
XRP price has already fallen 63% from its July 2025 peak of $3.60. That decline appears to have pushed many market participants to the sidelines. Besides, weak sentiment usually grows louder after long drawdowns, especially when momentum fades for months.
Past examples support this pattern. In February 2025, the bullish-to-bearish ratio fell to 0.96 to 1.00. XRP then posted a notable rebound before momentum cooled again. In October 2025, the ratio hit 1.01, and price also bounced for a period.
Ali Martinez does not rely on sentiment alone, but the data support his broader thesis. Extreme negativity often appears near exhaustion points. Consequently, the current mood may serve as a contrarian signal if support continues to hold.
XRP Price Indicators Show Mixed Momentum Signals
Short-term indicators still show a market without full control from either side. The RSI of 14 days is 43.21, and the moving average of the RSI is 43.48. Readings of less than 50 are also indicative of dampened momentum.
The MACD also depicts a wary image. Its histogram was 0.0028, indicating a weakly positive momentum. In the meantime, the MACD line stands at -0.0166, and the signal line has a value of almost -0.0194.
Source: TradingView
The bars in the green histogram indicate that the selling pressure has begun to relax. Nevertheless, XRP price continues to be in need of greater validation before the bulls can boast of an evident change. That leaves the market stuck between optimism on the larger chart and hesitation on the shorter one.
Ali Martinez has stressed the importance of XRP price levels rather than indicator noise. The immediate upside barrier sits near $1.34, followed by a stronger hurdle at $1.40. On the downside, $1.30 remains an important near-term floor, with $1.20 below it.
Breakout Scenario Could Lift XRP Price Toward New Highs
The biggest bullish case still rests on a clean breakout from the nine-year triangle. Ali Martinez says a successful break could open the door to a move toward $8.50. That level would stand far above the current price and above prior records.
Such a target may sound aggressive, yet long consolidations can produce outsized moves. The longer price compresses, the stronger the release often becomes once resistance breaks. Moreover, XRP price has already shown that it can move quickly during stronger market phases.
Ali Martinez frames the current setup as a waiting game rather than a finished breakout. First, the market may need one more test of lower support. After that, the next challenge would come at the upper trendline, where the major decision likely forms.
